DFB-Pokal | Last 16
Jan 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Hoffenheim1 - 4Freiburg
We said: Hoffenheim 3-1 Freiburg
Although in the league these sides are separated by a single point, we think that Hoffenheim will have too much for the visitors, especially as the hosts are unbeaten in their last eight home games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
| 52.96% | 22.01% | 25.03% |
| Both teams to score 61.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
