Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
0 - 1
Dortmund

Richter (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Modeste (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, August 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	-5	2
16	Hertha Berlin	3	-3	1
17	Bayer Leverkusen	3	-5	0

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Hoffenheim	3	2	6
7	Borussia Dortmund	3	2	6
8	FC Koln	3	2	5

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

We expect Dortmund to bounce back with a victory on Saturday, with a potential change in formation likely to suit their set of players. Defensively, they were too wide open considering that they had a two-goal lead against Bremen, so they should have a better balance and too much overall strength for a struggling Hertha side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 0-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
14.93% ( 0.3)	18% ( 0.13)	67.08% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 58.63% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.37% (

0.03)

33.63% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.56% (

0.03)

55.44% (

-0.03)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.62% (

0.4)

35.38% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.86% (

0.41)

72.14% (

-0.41)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.73% (

-0.09)

9.26% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.69% (

-0.22)

31.3% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 14.93%

Borussia Dortmund 67.08%

Draw 18%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 14.93%	1-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18%	1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.36% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.38% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 2.08% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.75% Total : 67.08%