Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Augsburg

Geiger (39')
Promel (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bauer (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Mainz 05	3	2	7
6	Hoffenheim	3	2	6
7	Borussia Dortmund	3	2	6

Augsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Mainz 05
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Werder Bremen	3	1	5
10	Augsburg	3	-4	3
11	RB Leipzig	3	-1	2

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Augsburg

Hoffenheim have been the entertainers early on in the 2022-23 Bundesliga campaign, with their games typically being full of goals that showcases their attacking prowess. The visitors have had mixed success in their opening three matches, and this weekend could be another tough challenge for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Augsburg
60.56% ( -0.23)	20.9% ( -0)	18.53% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 56.11% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.35% (

0.4)

40.65% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.97% (

0.4)

63.03% (

-0.41)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.99% (

0.06)

13% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.46% (

0.11)

39.53% (

-0.11)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.5% (

0.49)

35.5% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74% (

0.5)

72.26% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 60.56%

Augsburg 18.53%

Draw 20.9%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 60.56%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.9%	1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 18.53%