MX23RW : Friday, January 17 09:55:30| >> :600:2619201:2619201:
Potential new EL header

Europa League
Roma logo
Europa League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Leverkusen logo

Roma
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen


Pellegrini (30'), Spinazzola (74'), Cristante (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wirtz (28'), Andrich (73')
Tah (16'), Xhaka (74'), Andrich (76')

The Match

Match Report

Bundesliga champions Bayer Leverkusen record a 2-0 victory over Roma in the first leg of their Europa League semi-final in Italy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Roma
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawBayer Leverkusen
27.53% (0.041 0.04) 24.37% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 48.1% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.11% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.87% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)46.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.43% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (0.028000000000006 0.03)30.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (0.032000000000004 0.03)66.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)19.26% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)50.98% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Roma 27.53%
    Bayer Leverkusen 48.1%
    Draw 24.37%
RomaDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.53%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 48.1%

How you voted: Roma vs B. Leverkusen

Roma
30.4%
Draw
25.6%
Bayer Leverkusen
44.0%
359
Head to Head
May 18, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
B. Leverkusen
0-0
Roma
Hincapie (45+3'), Palacios (56'), Bakker (70'), Tapsoba (90+7'), Frimpong (90+10'), Diaby (90'), Alonso (90+8')
Ibanez (70'), Cristante (89'), Abraham (90+9')
> Match Report
May 11, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Roma
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Bove (63')
> Match Report
Nov 4, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Roma
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Salah (2'), Dzeko (29'), Pjanic (80' pen.)
Torosidis (91'), Szczesny (94')
Mehmedi (46'), Hernandez (51')
Papadopoulos (61')
Toprak (79')
> Match Report
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
4-4
Roma
Hernandez (4' pen., 19'), Kampl (84'), Mehmedi (86')
Kramer (36'), Wendell (90')
De Rossi (29', 37'), Pjanic (54'), Falque (73')
Nainggolan (24'), de Rossi (34')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!