Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen2 - 2Roma
The Match
Match Report
Bayer Leverkusen magnificently save their unbeaten run and reach the Europa League final with a 4-2 aggregate win over Roma in the semi-finals.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-5 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Roma had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Roma |
66.53% ( -0.42) | 18.99% ( 0.13) | 14.47% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.64% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
