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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Feb 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Leverkusen logo

Augsburg
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Berisha (55')
Beljo (37'), Maier (59'), Engels (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hincapie (27'), Adli (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-2 Dortmund
Sunday, January 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

 With both teams losing last weekend, we can envisage a relatively cagey encounter in Bavaria on Friday evening, with both managers preferring to see their sides hold onto possession for long periods. However, there is little doubt that Leverkusen possess superior individual quality within their ranks, and they should be able to return to winning ways having made great strides under Alonso's management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
31.56% (0.459 0.46) 25.59% (0.386 0.39) 42.85% (-0.844 -0.84)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-1.08 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-1.492 -1.49)49.35% (1.492 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-1.359 -1.36)71.4% (1.361 1.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (-0.441 -0.44)29.3% (0.442 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.543 -0.54)65.27% (0.54400000000001 0.54)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-1.039 -1.04)22.93% (1.041 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31% (-1.552 -1.55)56.69% (1.553 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 31.56%
    Bayer Leverkusen 42.85%
    Draw 25.58%
AugsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.396 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.56%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.401 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.296 0.3)
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 42.85%

How you voted: Augsburg vs B. Leverkusen

Augsburg
19.4%
Draw
14.4%
Bayer Leverkusen
66.2%
139
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Augsburg
Aranguiz (43')
Azmoun (79')
Jensen (15'), Hahn (82')
Pedersen (35'), Demirovic (42'), Gouweleeuw (70'), Rexhbecaj (75'), Gikiewicz (82'), Bauer (89')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
5-1
Augsburg
Bellarabi (9'), Diaby (24', 65', 69'), Alario (81')
Bellarabi (6')
Maier (62')
Pedersen (43'), Uduokhai (52')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Augsburg
1-4
B. Leverkusen
Niederlechner (30')
Iago (3' og.), Niederlechner (14' og.), Schick (75'), Wirtz (81')
Demirbay (66')
Feb 21, 2021 12.30pm
Augsburg
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Niederlechner (5')
Benes (49'), Niederlechner (59')
Tapsoba (90+5')
Tapsoba (32'), Aranguiz (39'), Diaby (88'), Fosu-Mensah (89')
Oct 26, 2020 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Augsburg
Alario (16' pen., 74'), Diaby (90+4')
Alario (78')
Caligiuri (51')
Framberger (15'), Vargas (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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