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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
51.16% | 23.16% | 25.68% |
Both teams to score 58.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.81% | 42.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.41% | 64.59% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.42% | 16.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.62% | 46.38% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.15% | 29.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.07% | 65.93% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.16% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-1 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |