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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Stuttgart

Bayern
3 - 0
Stuttgart

Kane (2', 55'), Min-jae (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mittelstadt (31'), Karazor (69'), Leweling (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Bayern Munich 4-1 Stuttgart

Bayern often turn on the style when doubts creep in and their opponents go into the game feeling optimistic, as their recent 4-0 win at Dortmund showed. Stuttgart have the ability to be competitive here but may be helpless at stopping a Bayern machine which can blow any side away on their day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawStuttgart
61.69% (-1.262 -1.26) 19.94% (0.162 0.16) 18.37% (1.102 1.1)
Both teams to score 59.28% (1.716 1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.64% (1.188 1.19)36.36% (-1.188 -1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.51% (1.288 1.29)58.49% (-1.288 -1.29)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.63% (0.019000000000005 0.02)11.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.91% (0.038999999999994 0.04)36.09% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89% (1.923 1.92)33.11% (-1.922 -1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.29% (2.07 2.07)69.71% (-2.069 -2.07)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 61.69%
    Stuttgart 18.37%
    Draw 19.94%
Bayern MunichDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.517 -0.52)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.482 -0.48)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.45% (-0.37 -0.37)
3-2 @ 3.94% (0.188 0.19)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-2 @ 2.14% (0.104 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 61.69%
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.255 0.26)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.94%
1-2 @ 5% (0.232 0.23)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2% (0.191 0.19)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 18.37%

How you voted: Bayern vs Stuttgart

Bayern Munich
78.3%
Draw
10.0%
Stuttgart
11.7%
60
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 5.30pm
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Bayern
2-2
Stuttgart
Tel (36'), Musiala (60')
Fuhrich (57'), Guirassy (90+2' pen.)
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-2
Stuttgart
Gnabry (35'), Muller (44')
Kouassi (6'), Davies (90+1')
Coman (90+5')
Tomas (8'), Kalajdzic (52')
Karazor (39'), Fuhrich (50'), Coulibaly (74')
Dec 14, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
0-5
Bayern

Karazor (64')
Gnabry (40', 53', 74'), Lewandowski (69', 72')
Davies (55')
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
4-0
Stuttgart
Lewandowski (18', 23', 39'), Gnabry (22')
Boateng (37')
Davies (12')

Castro (61'), Kempf (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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