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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Jan 24, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Union Berlin logo

Bayern
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Guerreiro (46')
Sane (74'), Kane (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Behrens (48'), Haberer (90+5'), Vogt (90+5'), Leite (90+5')
Bjelica (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Union Berlin

Despite firing blanks on Wednesday, Bayern should return to winning ways in the league against Union, stopping the Iron Ones' two-game run in all competitions without losing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.33%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 6.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
81.33% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 12.07% (-0.016 -0.02) 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.33% (0.025999999999996 0.03)29.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)50.78% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)5.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.54% (0.027999999999992 0.03)21.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)47.96% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)83.2% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 81.31%
    Union Berlin 6.6%
    Draw 12.07%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.09%
3-0 @ 10.72%
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.88%
4-0 @ 7.78% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-0 @ 4.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.1%
6-1 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-0 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 81.31%
1-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 12.07%
1-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.6%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
81.5%
Draw
10.5%
Union Berlin
8.1%
124
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 4.30pm
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Becker (12')
Khedira (87')
Kimmich (15')
Kimmich (26'), Gravenberch (72')
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bayern
4-0
Union Berlin
Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')

Baumgartl (39')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
2-5
Bayern
Giesselmann (43'), Ryerson (65')
Jaeckel (15')
Lewandowski (15' pen., 23'), Sane (35'), Coman (61'), Muller (79')
Sule (30')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Union Berlin
Musiala (68')
Sarr (76'), Kouassi (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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