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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
69.07% ( 0) | 16.59% | 14.34% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 62.79% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.18% ( -0.01) | 27.81% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.49% ( -0.01) | 48.51% ( 0.01) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.65% ( -0) | 7.34% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.48% ( -0) | 26.52% ( 0) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( -0.01) | 32.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.27% ( -0.01) | 68.73% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.95% 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 2.4% 5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.5% Total : 69.07% | 1-1 @ 7% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.59% | 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-1 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-2 @ 1.52% 1-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.73% Total : 14.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |