Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
4 - 3
Augsburg

Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Bellingham (84')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
Pedersen (45'), Cardona (54'), Jensen (69'), Engels (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Dusseldorf
Tuesday, January 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Augsburg

Terzic will be eager for his side to hit the ground running after a disappointing end to last year, and a home fixture against a side near the bottom should be ideal. Augsburg are good away from home and could cause Dortmund's often-ropey defence a few problems, but it may be too much of an ask. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 73.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Augsburg
73.84% ( -0.13)	15.55% ( 0.09)	10.61% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.18% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.18% (

-0.36)

32.82% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.48% (

-0.42)

54.52% (

0.42)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.4% (

-0.11)

7.59% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.82% (

-0.29)

27.17% (

0.29)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.64% (

-0.19)

41.36% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.12% (

-0.16)

77.87% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 73.84%

Augsburg 10.61%

Draw 15.55%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Augsburg
2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 73.84%	1-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.55%	1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 10.61%