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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
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Dortmund
4 - 3
Augsburg

Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Bellingham (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
Pedersen (45'), Cardona (54'), Jensen (69'), Engels (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Dusseldorf
Tuesday, January 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Augsburg

 Terzic will be eager for his side to hit the ground running after a disappointing end to last year, and a home fixture against a side near the bottom should be ideal. Augsburg are good away from home and could cause Dortmund's often-ropey defence a few problems, but it may be too much of an ask. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 73.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawAugsburg
73.84% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13) 15.55% (0.090999999999999 0.09) 10.61% (0.039 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.18% (-0.36 -0.36)32.82% (0.359 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.48% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)54.52% (0.416 0.42)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.4% (-0.11 -0.11)7.59% (0.1089 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.82% (-0.286 -0.29)27.17% (0.286 0.29)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.64% (-0.187 -0.19)41.36% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.12% (-0.163 -0.16)77.87% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 73.84%
    Augsburg 10.61%
    Draw 15.55%
Borussia DortmundDrawAugsburg
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.98% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 73.84%
1-1 @ 7.15% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.14% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.55%
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.77% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 10.61%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Augsburg

Borussia Dortmund
88.4%
Draw
7.2%
Augsburg
4.3%
69
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')
Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-1
Augsburg
Guerreiro (10' pen.), Brandt (51')
Reus (44')
Zeqiri (35')
Gruezo (13'), Oxford (15'), Zeqiri (53')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-1
Augsburg
Delaney (26'), Sancho (63'), Uduokhai (75' og.)
Hahn (10')
Iago (20')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-0
Dortmund
Uduokhai (40'), Caligiuri (54')
Gregoritsch (29'), Khedira (30'), Gouweleeuw (31')

Braut Haaland (30'), Meunier (38'), Witsel (71'), Can (76')
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
3-5
Dortmund
Niederlechner (34', 55'), Richter (46')
Brandt (49'), Braut Haaland (59', 70', 79'), Sancho (61')
Reyna (76')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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