Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
We said: Augsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
A closely-fought contest between two teams eager to bounce back from defeats last weekend is set to take place on Saturday, but Dortmund will be regarded as the favourites to come out on top.
Augsburg have favoured playing in front of their own fans so far this season, but Dortmund have enjoyed their recent meetings with Die Fuggerstadter and should ultimately have enough firepower to outscore their opponents.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.75% . A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.5%) and 1-3 (5.23%) . The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood .
Result Augsburg Draw Borussia Dortmund 35.11% ( -0.45) 22.13% ( 0.04) 42.75% ( 0.41)
Both teams to score 68.34% ( -0.27)
68.2% ( -0.31) 31.8% ( 0.31)
46.67% ( -0.36) 53.33% ( 0.36)
81.07% ( -0.35) 18.93% ( 0.35)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.56% ( -0.59) 50.44% ( 0.59)
84.29% ( 0.03) 15.71% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.22% ( 0.05) 44.78% ( -0.05)
Augsburg 35.11%
Borussia Dortmund 42.75%
Draw 22.13%
Augsburg Draw Borussia Dortmund 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.11% 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.13% 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 42.75%
How you voted: Augsburg vs Dortmund
Augsburg
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
41
rhs 2.0
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