Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Mar 31, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 1
FC Koln

Maier (18')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Selke (33')
Alidou (61'), Maina (89'), Ljubicic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 1-5 RB Leipzig
Friday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

After four straight wins, a fixture against a side battling relegation is ideal on paper for Augsburg, and even though their last defeat came against Mainz, who were in 17th at the time, they should have no such problems this time. A 1-1 draw in the reverse saw Koln's three-game winning streak against Augsburg - where they scored 10 goals - come to an end, and a defeat is now on the cards for the Bundesliga strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	FC Koln
46.07% ( 0.05)	23.87% ( 0.05)	30.06% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 59.58% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.65% (

-0.27)

42.35% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.25% (

-0.27)

64.75% (

0.27)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.4% (

-0.09)

18.6% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.12% (

-0.15)

49.88% (

0.15)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

-0.19)

26.81% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

-0.26)

62.1% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 46.07%

FC Koln 30.06%

Draw 23.87%

Augsburg	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 46.07%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.06%