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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Koln logo

Augsburg
1 - 1
FC Koln

Maier (18')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Selke (33')
Alidou (61'), Maina (89'), Ljubicic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-5 RB Leipzig
Friday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 2-0 FC Koln

After four straight wins, a fixture against a side battling relegation is ideal on paper for Augsburg, and even though their last defeat came against Mainz, who were in 17th at the time, they should have no such problems this time. A 1-1 draw in the reverse saw Koln's three-game winning streak against Augsburg - where they scored 10 goals - come to an end, and a defeat is now on the cards for the Bundesliga strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawFC Koln
46.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 23.87% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 30.06% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 59.58% (-0.22 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.65% (-0.269 -0.27)42.35% (0.269 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.25% (-0.266 -0.27)64.75% (0.268 0.27)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)18.6% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12% (-0.145 -0.15)49.88% (0.148 0.15)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)26.81% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.256 -0.26)62.1% (0.258 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 46.07%
    FC Koln 30.06%
    Draw 23.87%
AugsburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.06%

How you voted: Augsburg vs FC Koln

Augsburg
87.8%
Draw
10.2%
FC Koln
2.0%
49
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
FC Koln
1-1
Augsburg
Maina (16')
Selke (90+7')
Tietz (25')
Pedersen (40'), Gouweleeuw (90+1'), Breithaupt (90+7'), Dahmen (90+6')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Augsburg
1-3
FC Koln
Vargas (29')
Skhiri (7'), Martel (16'), Maina (59')
Oct 16, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
FC Koln
3-2
Augsburg
Tigges (47', 81'), Huseinbasic (61')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Augsburg
1-4
FC Koln
Niederlechner (73')
Gruezo (42'), Oxford (69')
Thielmann (12'), Uth (15'), Modeste (63' pen., 77')
Thielmann (53'), Kainz (60'), Hubers (75'), Kilian (80')
Dec 10, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
FC Koln
0-2
Augsburg

Kilian (57'), Baumgart (79'), Ozcan (87')
Hahn (72'), Dorsch (88')
Gregoritsch (25'), Dorsch (41'), Gouweleeuw (57'), Cordova (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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