Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
