Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 2-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.