DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals

Apr 4, 2023 at 5pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Kolo (11', 12')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, March 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Union Berlin (Union win on penalties)

Though Union have been in the ascendancy of late, Frankfurt are generally a tough nut to crack on home soil. Having both dropped out of Europe, this represents both teams' only realistic route to a trophy, so a fiercely-fought contest could even go all the way to spot-kicks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Union Berlin
48.16% ( -1.77)	25.7% ( 0.54)	26.14% ( 1.23)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.38% (

-1.19)

52.62% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.73% (

-1.03)

74.27% (

1.03)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

-1.25)

21.86% (

1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.9% (

-1.93)

55.1% (

1.94)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.96% (

0.4)

35.04% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.21% (

0.42)

71.79% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 48.15%

Union Berlin 26.14%

Draw 25.69%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.15%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.08% Total : 26.14%