DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Apr 4, 2023 at 5pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Frankfurt2 - 0Union Berlin
Kolo (11', 12')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, March 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, March 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Union Berlin (Union win on penalties)
Though Union have been in the ascendancy of late, Frankfurt are generally a tough nut to crack on home soil. Having both dropped out of Europe, this represents both teams' only realistic route to a trophy, so a fiercely-fought contest could even go all the way to spot-kicks. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Union Berlin |
48.16% ( -1.77) | 25.7% ( 0.54) | 26.14% ( 1.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
