Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Dortmund2 - 1Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Wednesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Union Berlin
Tuesday, April 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, April 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Union Berlin
Dortmund's season appears to be unravelling at precisely the wrong moment of the campaign, with Terzic's side looking extremely insecure in their recent defeats to Bayern and Leipzig. Union Berlin, on the other hand, should head into this match with real confidence of causing an upset, with Fischer's side perfectly poised to sting their opponents in transition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 64.95% | 19.77% ( -0) | 15.28% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
0)
