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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Dortmund logo

Frankfurt
1 - 2
Dortmund

Kamada (26')
Pellegrini (16'), Lindstrom (60'), Rode (90+3'), Tuta (90+5'), Trapp (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
Ozcan (66'), Can (70'), Hummels (81'), Reyna (90+5'), Bellingham (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Man City
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

The Bundesliga's Saturday night game should be a highly absorbing affair this weekend, with both teams playing an attractive style of football in recent weeks. In truth, with Frankfurt benefitting from home advantage, it is difficult to split them from Dortmund, so we can envisage a score draw at Deutsch Bank Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
31.19% (-0.219 -0.22) 24.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 44.01% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.209 -0.21)46.02% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.197 -0.2)68.33% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (-0.248 -0.25)27.89% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.317 -0.32)63.5% (0.32 0.32)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 31.19%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.01%
    Draw 24.79%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.015 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.19%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt
35.3%
Draw
23.5%
Borussia Dortmund
41.2%
136
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
Frankfurt
2-3
Dortmund
Borre (15', 24')
Hinteregger (87'), Chandler (88'), Borre (90+4')
Hazard (71'), Bellingham (87'), Dahoud (89')
Braut Haaland (87'), Hazard (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 5.30pm
Dortmund
5-2
Frankfurt
Reus (23'), Hazard (32'), Braut Haaland (34', 70'), Reyna (58')
Passlack (27' og.), Petter Hauge (86')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-2
Frankfurt
Hummels (45')
Schulz (11' og.), Silva (87')
Kostic (25'), Sow (33'), Rode (76')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Frankfurt
1-1
Dortmund
Kamada (9')
N'Dicka (41'), Kamada (47'), Rode (60'), Sow (64'), Kostic (82'), Abraham (85')
Reyna (56')
Can (88')
Feb 14, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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