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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
35.66% (![]() | 23.77% (![]() | 40.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.07% (![]() | 39.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.71% (![]() | 62.29% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% (![]() | 22.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.14% (![]() | 55.86% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% (![]() | 19.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.87% (![]() | 52.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 8.07% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 10.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.68% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 40.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |