Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 Dortmund
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Hoffenheim	4	3	9
5	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	9
6	Borussia Monchengladbach	4	3	8

Hoffenheim

Last Six:

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-0 Augsburg
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Freiburg	4	4	9
4	Hoffenheim	4	3	9
5	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	9

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Hoffenheim

Five of the last six domestic contests between these sides at Westfalenstadion have been decided by a goal or fewer, and we anticipate a close game between two teams who have usually been able to be pretty tidy at the back. Dortmund will have a slight edge because of their resilience after losing a home fixture, plus their overall experience and quality seems to be just a little greater than their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.49%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Hoffenheim
58.49% ( 0.01)	20.58% ( 0)	20.93% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.57% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.58% (

-0.02)

35.42% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.54% (

-0.03)

57.46% (

0.03)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.05% (

-0)

11.95% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.66% (

-0.01)

37.34% (

0.01)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

-0.02)

30.07% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8% (

-0.02)

66.2% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 58.49%

Hoffenheim 20.93%

Draw 20.58%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.3% 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 58.49%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.58%	1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.91% Total : 20.93%