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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Leverkusen logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
    Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Antalyaspor
    Saturday, July 30 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Elversberg 4-3 B. Leverkusen
      Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal

      We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

       We expect to see a highly entertaining, high-scoring affair between two attacking teams on Saturday. Both meetings saw seven goals scored at either end last season, but we expect the hosts to just edge it having looked more ready for the new season in the DFB-Pokal last weekend. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

      Result
      Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
      45.96% (1.282 1.28) 21.44% (-0.303 -0.3) 32.6% (-0.979 -0.98)
      Both teams to score 70.11% (0.762 0.76)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      70.86% (1.146 1.15)29.14% (-1.146 -1.15)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      49.86% (1.389 1.39)50.14% (-1.389 -1.39)
      Borussia Dortmund Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      86.46% (0.87299999999999 0.87)13.54% (-0.872 -0.87)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      59.39% (1.717 1.72)40.61% (-1.717 -1.72)
      Bayer Leverkusen Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      81.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)18.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      49.6% (0.103 0.1)50.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
      Score Analysis
          Borussia Dortmund 45.96%
          Bayer Leverkusen 32.6%
          Draw 21.44%
      Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
      2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      3-1 @ 5.68% (0.176 0.18)
      1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.176 -0.18)
      2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
      3-2 @ 4.73% (0.155 0.16)
      3-0 @ 3.41% (0.099 0.1)
      4-1 @ 2.84% (0.174 0.17)
      4-2 @ 2.37% (0.149 0.15)
      4-0 @ 1.71% (0.101 0.1)
      4-3 @ 1.31% (0.085 0.09)
      5-1 @ 1.14% (0.103 0.1)
      5-2 @ 0.95% (0.087 0.09)
      Other @ 3.07%
      Total : 45.96%
      		1-1 @ 8.53% (-0.278 -0.28)
      2-2 @ 7.1% (0.012 0.01)
      3-3 @ 2.63% (0.091 0.09)
      0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.173 -0.17)
      Other @ 0.63%
      Total : 21.44%
      		1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.217 -0.22)
      0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.281 -0.28)
      1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
      2-3 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
      0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.227 -0.23)
      0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
      1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
      2-4 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
      3-4 @ 1.09% (0.04 0.04)
      Other @ 3.45%
      Total : 32.6%

      How you voted: Dortmund vs B. Leverkusen

      Borussia Dortmund
      75.5%
      Draw
      12.7%
      Bayer Leverkusen
      11.8%
      102
      Head to Head
      Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
      Dortmund
      2-5
      B. Leverkusen
      Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
      Dahoud (26')
      Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
      Bellarabi (46')
      Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      3-4
      Dortmund
      Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
      Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
      Braut Haaland (37', 77'), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
      Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')
      May 22, 2021 2.30pm
      Dortmund
      3-1
      B. Leverkusen
      Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
      Bender (89' pen.)
      Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      2-1
      Dortmund
      Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
      Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
      Brandt (67')
      Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
      Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      4-3
      Dortmund
      Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
      Bender (35'), Volland (67')
      Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
      Guerreiro (39')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
      2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
      3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
      4Stuttgart1895436261032
      5RB Leipzig189453227531
      6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
      7Wolfsburg188374032827
      8Freiburg188372534-927
      9Werder Bremen187563134-326
      10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
      11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
      12Augsburg186482133-1222
      13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
      14St Pauli1852111421-717
      15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
      16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
      17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
      18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
      > Bundesliga Full Table


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