Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Freiburg1 - 3Dortmund
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, August 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Mainz 05 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 1 |
We said: Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
With three new signings scoring on debut in Freiburg's 4-0 away win last weekend, we think that they can spring an upset against Dortmund. Streich's side are one of the more upwardly mobile teams in the Bundesliga, while the visitors have a few teething issues and were not particularly impressive despite beating Leverkusen last weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-3 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
16.07% ( 0.08) | 18.19% ( 0) | 65.74% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.87% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
