MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:35:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Werder Bremen logo

Dortmund
2 - 3
Werder Bremen

Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Werder Bremen

With Fullkrug and Ducksch in such excellent form, we can envisage the visitors scoring, but Dortmund should have too much for them overall. As last week's victory in Freiburg showed, BVB do not even necessarily need their main cast to fire to record victories, although they should be fired up by the competition for places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
52.06% (0.697 0.7) 20.94% (-0.54 -0.54) 27% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 68.02% (1.926 1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.72% (2.557 2.56)30.28% (-2.558 -2.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.47% (3.008 3.01)51.53% (-3.011 -3.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (1.089 1.09)12.08% (-1.09 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.38% (2.258 2.26)37.61% (-2.261 -2.26)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (1.246 1.25)22.62% (-1.248 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (1.819 1.82)56.24% (-1.822 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 52.06%
    Werder Bremen 27%
    Draw 20.94%
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.597 -0.6)
3-2 @ 4.75% (0.271 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.208 0.21)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.24 0.24)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.06 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.143 0.14)
4-3 @ 1.24% (0.159 0.16)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.141 0.14)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 52.06%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.545 -0.55)
2-2 @ 6.74% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 2.73% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-3 @ 2.35% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.442 -0.44)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.175 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.107 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 27%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund
86.9%
Draw
9.1%
Werder Bremen
4.0%
99
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-1
Werder Bremen
Reyna (29'), Braut Haaland (34' pen., 38'), Hummels (87')
Dahoud (48')
Rashica (14')
Friedl (60'), Veljkovic (66'), Gross (77'), Moisander (85')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-2
Dortmund
Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')
Guerreiro (12'), Reus (78')
Reus (35'), Witsel (60')
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Werder Bremen
3-2
Dortmund
Selke (16'), Bittencourt (30'), Rashica (70')
Bittencourt (23'), Moisander (85')
Braut Haaland (67'), Reyna (78')
Schulz (49'), Reus (64'), Reyna (85')
Sep 28, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt5401116512
3RB Leipzig532082611
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
5Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
6Heidenheim530210739
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Werder Bremen5221811-38
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
12Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim5104915-63
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel5014717-101


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