MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 11:06:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 16, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Coface Arena
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Mainz 05
0 - 1
Dortmund


Bell (43'), Stach (49'), Lucoqui (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Witsel (87')
Wolf (43'), Dahoud (44'), Pongracic (45+3'), Witsel (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

 After such a lengthy break, Mainz 05 will be looking to get things back on track for the second half of the season, but they face a stern test against a team fighting for the title. Borussia Dortmund are in good form within the league, and as they continue to push Bayern Munich, the squad should be able to secure a victory here in what could be a close contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
29.06%23.99%46.95%
Both teams to score 58.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54%43.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14%65.85%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96%28.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3%63.69%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32%18.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.99%50.01%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 29.06%
    Borussia Dortmund 46.95%
    Draw 23.98%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.1%
1-0 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 4.23%
3-1 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 29.06%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-1 @ 8.79%
0-2 @ 7.37%
1-3 @ 5.24%
0-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 1.73%
2-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 46.95%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Dortmund

Mainz 05
13.4%
Draw
13.4%
Borussia Dortmund
73.2%
82
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-1
Mainz 05
Reus (3'), Braut Haaland (54' pen., 90+4')
Schulz (13'), Akanji (35')
Burkardt (87')
Bell (50'), Svensson (54'), Ingvartsen (64'), Tauer (71'), Niakhate (89')
May 16, 2021 5pm
Mainz 05
1-3
Dortmund
Quaison (90+1' pen.)
Guerreiro (23'), Reus (42'), Brandt (80')
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-1
Mainz 05
Meunier (73')
Can (68')
Oztunali (57')
Mwene (40'), Hack (47')
Jun 17, 2020 7.30pm
Dortmund
0-2
Mainz 05
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
Mainz 05
0-4
Dortmund
> Preview
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Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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