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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 3, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
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B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
Dortmund

Okoh Boniface (79')
Frimpong (12'), Palacios (74'), Odilon (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ryerson (5')
Hummels (77'), Wolf (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hacken 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: AC Milan 1-3 Dortmund
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 Borussia Dortmund

 There is little doubt that this match is the stand-out game of the weekend in the Bundesliga, with both teams desperate for all three points for different reasons. Leverkusen will need to win to return to the top of the table should Bayern defeat Union Berlin as expected, while Dortmund must close the gap on their opponents. Despite Dortmund's hugely positive week, Leverkusen are playing at a higher level at the moment, and we can envisage them coming out on top in what could be a classic encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.75%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
57.75% (3.81 3.81) 20.33% (-0.365 -0.37) 21.92% (-3.447 -3.45)
Both teams to score 64.07% (-3.168 -3.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.14% (-2.231 -2.23)32.85% (2.227 2.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.44% (-2.616 -2.62)54.55% (2.613 2.61)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (0.31700000000001 0.32)11.35% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.96% (0.692 0.69)36.04% (-0.693 -0.69)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-3.847 -3.85)27.73% (3.845 3.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-5.216 -5.22)63.3% (5.214 5.21)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 57.75%
    Borussia Dortmund 21.92%
    Draw 20.33%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.348 0.35)
2-0 @ 7.45% (1.02 1.02)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.338 0.34)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.861 0.86)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.8 0.8)
3-2 @ 4.45% (-0.276 -0.28)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.23 0.23)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.467 0.47)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.12 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.217 0.22)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.177 -0.18)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 57.75%
1-1 @ 8.78% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.464 -0.46)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.36 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.353 -0.35)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.33%
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-1 @ 4.04% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.269 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.522 -0.52)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.257 -0.26)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 21.92%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
67.6%
Draw
9.5%
Borussia Dortmund
23.0%
74
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
0-2
Dortmund
Adeyemi (33'), Tapsoba (53' og.)
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
2-5
B. Leverkusen
Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
Dahoud (26')
Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
Bellarabi (46')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
B. Leverkusen
3-4
Dortmund
Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
Braut Haaland (37', 77'), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')
> Preview
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Dortmund
3-1
B. Leverkusen
Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
Bender (89' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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