Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 3, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen1 - 1Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hacken 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: AC Milan 1-3 Dortmund
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 Borussia Dortmund
There is little doubt that this match is the stand-out game of the weekend in the Bundesliga, with both teams desperate for all three points for different reasons. Leverkusen will need to win to return to the top of the table should Bayern defeat Union Berlin as expected, while Dortmund must close the gap on their opponents. Despite Dortmund's hugely positive week, Leverkusen are playing at a higher level at the moment, and we can envisage them coming out on top in what could be a classic encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.75%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
57.75% ( 3.81) | 20.33% ( -0.37) | 21.92% ( -3.45) |
| Both teams to score 64.07% ( -3.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
