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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.57%) and 3-1 (5.46%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
44.5% (![]() | 21.98% (![]() | 33.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.47% (![]() | 31.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.99% (![]() | 53.01% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% (![]() | 14.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.62% (![]() | 43.37% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% (![]() | 19.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.48% (![]() | 51.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 8.62% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.33% Total : 44.5% | 1-1 @ 9.07% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.42% ( ![]() Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 7.4% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.31% Total : 33.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |