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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

FC Koln
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Kainz (9' pen., 76' pen.), Waldschmidt (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Elvedi (63')
Nicolas (74'), Scally (90+4')
Kone (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 FC Koln
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

These two sides have registered just one league win between them so far this season, suggesting there could be a chronic lack of confidence on display at RheinEnergieStadion this weekend. With every point collected crucial for both sets of managers and players even at this early stage of proceedings, we can envisage a low scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
43.36% (0.182 0.18) 22.79% (0.253 0.25) 33.85% (-0.438 -0.44)
Both teams to score 65.39% (-1.128 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.52% (-1.412 -1.41)35.48% (1.409 1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.47% (-1.58 -1.58)57.53% (1.577 1.58)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (-0.5 -0.5)16.95% (0.496 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.96% (-0.88699999999999 -0.89)47.04% (0.88399999999999 0.88)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.88199999999999 -0.88)21.26% (0.879 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-1.382 -1.38)54.18% (1.379 1.38)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 43.36%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 33.85%
    Draw 22.79%
FC KolnDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.104 0.1)
1-0 @ 6.4% (0.344 0.34)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.216 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.008 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 43.36%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 6.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.25 0.25)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.245 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 33.85%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Borussia M'bach

FC Koln
20.0%
Draw
30.0%
Borussia Monchengladbach
50.0%
60
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Borussia M'bach
5-2
FC Koln
Friedrich (27'), Bensebaini (45+2' pen., 76'), Stindl (47'), Thuram (90+1')
Kainz (31' pen.), Huseinbasic (83')
Apr 16, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Borussia M'bach
1-3
FC Koln
Embolo (85')
Kone (45'), Plea (65'), Elvedi (86')
Modeste (5'), Kainz (20'), Ljubicic (34')
Hector (69'), Hubers (72')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
FC Koln
4-1
Borussia M'bach
Ljubicic (55'), Uth (77'), Duda (78'), Andersson (90+3')
Duda (60')
Hofmann (74')
Sommer (60'), Zakaria (64'), Thuram (90')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Borussia M'bach
1-2
FC Koln
Neuhaus (16')
Stindl (2'), Herrmann (27'), Jantschke (75'), Neuhaus (90+5')
Rexhbecaj (3', 55')
Ehizibue (80'), Rexhbecaj (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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