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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Leipzig logo

Borussia M'bach
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Scally (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Werner (75')
Raum (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Young Boys 1-3 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-3 RB Leipzig

Considering the contrasting starts that both teams have made to the new season, Leipzig will be regarded as favourites to claim maximum points on Saturday. Monchengladbach have had plenty of success in their recent home meetings with Leipzig, but we believe that the in-form visitors will claim a comfortable victory at Borussia-Park this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawRB Leipzig
27.2% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 22.87% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 49.93% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.161 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.44% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)39.56% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.09% (-0.213 -0.21)61.91% (0.216 0.22)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.119 -0.12)27.34% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (-0.154 -0.15)62.8% (0.159 0.16)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)16.06% (0.086 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-0.151 -0.15)45.43% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 27.2%
    RB Leipzig 49.93%
    Draw 22.87%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.75%
1-0 @ 5.69% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.69% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.34% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 49.93%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Monchengladbach
24.6%
Draw
10.5%
RB Leipzig
64.9%
57
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
RB Leipzig
3-0
Borussia M'bach
Werner (58'), Forsberg (71' pen.), Gvardiol (80')
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
May 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Borussia M'bach
3-1
RB Leipzig
Embolo (17'), Hofmann (45+2', 77')
Stindl (23'), Kone (88'), Neuhaus (90+1'), Hofmann (90+1')
Elvedi (64')
Nkunku (36')
Gvardiol (10'), Simakan (22')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
4-1
Borussia M'bach
Gvardiol (21'), Silva (33'), Nkunku (90+1'), Henrichs (90+4')
Orban (59'), Gvardiol (81'), Simakan (89')
Bensebaini (88')
Hutter (24'), Embolo (41'), Stindl (42')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
RB Leipzig
3-2
Borussia M'bach
Nkunku (57'), Poulsen (66'), Sorloth (90+3')
Sabitzer (41'), Upamecano (43')
Hofmann (6' pen.), Thuram (19')
Elvedi (49'), Bensebaini (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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