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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Mainz logo

Borussia M'bach
2 - 2
Mainz

Neuhaus (22'), Scally (88')
Itakura (56'), Kone (81'), Hack (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gruda (24'), Barkok (75')
Bell (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1 Mainz 05

Gladbach will have taken plenty of confidence from beating Bochum, who are the only team in the Bundesliga to have accrued as few points as Mainz so far this season, and we can envisage making it two straight wins on Friday. Svensson's side have enough individual quality within their squad to turn things round sooner rather than later, but they may need the upcoming international break to regroup and help some of their injured players recover before that happens. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
31.82% (-0.571 -0.57) 23.26% (-0.195 -0.2) 44.92% (0.763 0.76)
Both teams to score 62.76% (0.444 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (0.694 0.69)38.57% (-0.696 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.13% (0.731 0.73)60.87% (-0.733 -0.73)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)23.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)58.05% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43% (0.583 0.58)17.56% (-0.586 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.89% (1.006 1.01)48.11% (-1.007 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 31.82%
    Mainz 05 44.92%
    Draw 23.25%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.27% (0.126 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.088 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.097 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.07 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 44.92%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Mainz

Borussia Monchengladbach
78.8%
Draw
13.1%
Mainz 05
8.1%
99
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mainz
4-0
Borussia M'bach
Jae-sung (25'), Ingvartsen (49'), Ajorque (72'), Weiper (90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 28
Borussia M'bach
1-1
Mainz
Embolo (33')
Embolo (10'), Ginter (28')
Onisiwo (73')
Barreiro (40')
Nov 5, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Mainz
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Widmer (76')
Jae-sung (31'), Bell (45'), Boetius (53')
Neuhaus (38')
Elvedi (22'), Kone (64'), Bensebaini (70')
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Mainz
Stindl (26')
Kramer (14')
Onisiwo (10'), Stoger (86')
Kohr (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
11Wolfsburg198474234828
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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