Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
1 - 6
Bayern

Kolo (64')
N'Dicka (59'), Kostic (71')

FT(HT: 0-5)

Kimmich (5'), Pavard (11'), Mane (29'), Musiala (35', 83'), Gnabry (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

Last Six:

Last Game: Magdeburg 0-4 Frankfurt
Monday, August 1 at 7.46pm in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Borussia Monchengladbach	0	0	0
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0
7	FC Koln	0	0	0

Bayern Munich

Last Six:

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-5 Bayern
Saturday, July 30 at 7.30pm in DFL-Supercup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0
4	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 Bayern Munich

Frankfurt will almost certainly improve on last season's 11th-placed finish and should provide Bayern with a stern opening day test. However, the champions looked irrepressible in attack against Leipzig last weekend, and may have too much firepower on the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 70.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-3 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Bayern Munich
12.9% ( -1.79)	16.82% ( -0.9)	70.28% ( 2.7)

Both teams to score 57.3% (

-1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.34% (

0.14)

32.66% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.67% (

0.16)

54.33% (

-0.16)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.49% (

-2.37)

37.51% (

2.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.71% (

-2.4)

74.29% (

2.4)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.7% (

0.63)

8.3% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.04% (

1.54)

28.96% (

-1.54)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 12.9%

Bayern Munich 70.28%

Draw 16.82%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.89% Total : 12.9%	1-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.82%	0-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 8% ( 0.63) 1-3 @ 7.84% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 4.98% ( 0.52) 1-4 @ 4.88% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.19) 0-5 @ 2.48% ( 0.33) 1-5 @ 2.43% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( 0.16) 1-6 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.35% Total : 70.28%