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Leipzig logo
DFL-Supercup | Final
Jul 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Bayern logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 5
Bayern

Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFL-Supercup clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:
    Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-5 Liverpool
    Thursday, July 21 at 6.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Bayern Munich

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Bayern 0-1 Man City
      Sunday, July 24 at 12.15am in Club Friendlies 1

      We said: RB Leipzig 1-2 Bayern Munich

       Bayern Munich have enjoyed the better of this fixture and are huge favourites to get the job done here. While we expect Leipzig to put up a good fight, we are also tipping the away side to come out on top in the end. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.57%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 18.73% and a draw has a probability of 17.7%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 2-1 (4.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.8%).

      Result
      RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
      18.73% (-10.873 -10.87) 17.7% (-5.222 -5.22) 63.57% (16.095 16.1)
      Both teams to score 68.96% (6.25 6.25)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      75.49% (13.593 13.59)24.51% (-13.593 -13.59)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      55.72% (16.098 16.1)44.28% (-16.097 -16.1)
      RB Leipzig Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.6% (-0.41199999999999 -0.41)25.4% (0.414 0.41)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      39.79% (-0.567 -0.57)60.21% (0.568 0.57)
      Bayern Munich Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      92.44% (8.84 8.84)7.56% (-8.84 -8.84)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      72.92% (18.972 18.97)27.08% (-18.971 -18.97)
      Score Analysis
          RB Leipzig 18.73%
          Bayern Munich 63.58%
          Draw 17.7%
      RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
      2-1 @ 4.66% (-2.469 -2.47)
      3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.231 -0.23)
      1-0 @ 2.63% (-3.051 -3.05)
      3-1 @ 2.13% (-1.167 -1.17)
      2-0 @ 1.8% (-2.138 -2.14)
      4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.091 -0.09)
      Other @ 3.82%
      Total : 18.73%
      		1-1 @ 6.8% (-3.475 -3.48)
      2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.428 -0.43)
      3-3 @ 2.36% (0.57 0.57)
      0-0 @ 1.92% (-2.178 -2.18)
      Other @ 0.61%
      Total : 17.7%
      		1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.513 -0.51)
      1-3 @ 7.55% (1.956 1.96)
      0-2 @ 6.4% (-0.295 -0.3)
      0-3 @ 5.51% (1.476 1.48)
      2-3 @ 5.18% (1.294 1.29)
      0-1 @ 4.96% (-2.451 -2.45)
      1-4 @ 4.88% (2.346 2.35)
      0-4 @ 3.56% (1.734 1.73)
      2-4 @ 3.34% (1.587 1.59)
      1-5 @ 2.52% (1.603 1.6)
      0-5 @ 1.84% (1.178 1.18)
      2-5 @ 1.73% (1.091 1.09)
      3-4 @ 1.53% (0.715 0.72)
      1-6 @ 1.08% (0.808 0.81)
      Other @ 4.74%
      Total : 63.58%

      How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Bayern

      RB Leipzig
      7.9%
      Draw
      9.4%
      Bayern Munich
      82.7%
      127
      Head to Head
      Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
      Bayern
      3-2
      RB Leipzig
      Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
      Hernandez (22')
      Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
      Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
      Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
      RB Leipzig
      1-4
      Bayern
      Laimer (58')
      Lewandowski (12' pen.), Musiala (47'), Sane (54'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+2')
      Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
      RB Leipzig
      0-1
      Bayern

      Mukiele (26'), Sabitzer (37'), Upamecano (61')
      Goretzka (38')
      Kimmich (33'), Hernandez (81')
      Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
      Bayern
      3-3
      RB Leipzig
      Musiala (30'), Muller (34', 75')
      Nkunku (19'), Kluivert (36'), Forsberg (48')
      Mukiele (51')
      Feb 9, 2020 5pm
      Bayern
      0-0
      RB Leipzig
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