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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Koln logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 0
FC Koln

Kanga (9'), Richter (54')
Kempf (62'), Rogel (62'), Lukebakio (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Skhiri (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-1 FC Koln

Neither side looks capable of settling the score in the final third this weekend. It is very possible that the in-form Lukebakio will take the game to Koln, the Belgian having scored an impressive seven goals this season. However, against an aggressive and direct Hertha side, Koln may retreat into a more cautious play, leaving two sides with poor finishing struggling to break their opponents down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawFC Koln
29.42% (-0.476 -0.48) 23.2% (-0.127 -0.13) 47.37% (0.599 0.6)
Both teams to score 61.57% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (0.321 0.32)39.54% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (0.333 0.33)61.89% (-0.339 -0.34)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)25.82% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.197 -0.2)60.78% (0.192 0.19)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (0.351 0.35)16.99% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (0.621 0.62)47.1% (-0.624 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 29.42%
    FC Koln 47.37%
    Draw 23.19%
Hertha BerlinDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.94% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.42%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.89% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.07% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 47.37%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs FC Koln

Hertha Berlin
52.9%
Draw
23.5%
FC Koln
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-3
FC Koln
Darida (57')
Torunarigha (48'), Serdar (61'), Boateng (82')
Modeste (30'), Duda (32'), Thielmann (90+1')
Hubers (15')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
FC Koln
3-1
Hertha Berlin
Modeste (41'), Kainz (52', 55')
Hubers (16'), Czichos (67'), Thielmann (77'), Skhiri (80')
Jovetic (6')
Plattenhardt (90'), Serdar (90+4')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-5
FC Koln

Stark (45'), Ascacibar (69')
Cordoba (4', 22'), Jarstein (37' og.), Kainz (62'), Uth (69')
Mere (55'), Rexhbecaj (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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