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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Koln logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 0
FC Koln

Kanga (9'), Richter (54')
Kempf (62'), Rogel (62'), Lukebakio (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Skhiri (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-1 FC Koln

Neither side looks capable of settling the score in the final third this weekend. It is very possible that the in-form Lukebakio will take the game to Koln, the Belgian having scored an impressive seven goals this season. However, against an aggressive and direct Hertha side, Koln may retreat into a more cautious play, leaving two sides with poor finishing struggling to break their opponents down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawFC Koln
29.42% (-0.476 -0.48) 23.2% (-0.127 -0.13) 47.37% (0.599 0.6)
Both teams to score 61.57% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (0.321 0.32)39.54% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (0.333 0.33)61.89% (-0.339 -0.34)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)25.82% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.197 -0.2)60.78% (0.192 0.19)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (0.351 0.35)16.99% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (0.621 0.62)47.1% (-0.624 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 29.42%
    FC Koln 47.37%
    Draw 23.19%
Hertha BerlinDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.94% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.42%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.89% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.07% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 47.37%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs FC Koln

Hertha Berlin
52.9%
Draw
23.5%
FC Koln
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-3
FC Koln
Darida (57')
Torunarigha (48'), Serdar (61'), Boateng (82')
Modeste (30'), Duda (32'), Thielmann (90+1')
Hubers (15')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
FC Koln
3-1
Hertha Berlin
Modeste (41'), Kainz (52', 55')
Hubers (16'), Czichos (67'), Thielmann (77'), Skhiri (80')
Jovetic (6')
Plattenhardt (90'), Serdar (90+4')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-5
FC Koln

Stark (45'), Ascacibar (69')
Cordoba (4', 22'), Jarstein (37' og.), Kainz (62'), Uth (69')
Mere (55'), Rexhbecaj (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt5401116512
3RB Leipzig532082611
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
5Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
6Heidenheim530210739
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Werder Bremen5221811-38
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
12Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim5104915-63
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel5014717-101


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