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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Koln logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 0
FC Koln

Kanga (9'), Richter (54')
Kempf (62'), Rogel (62'), Lukebakio (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Skhiri (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-1 FC Koln

Neither side looks capable of settling the score in the final third this weekend. It is very possible that the in-form Lukebakio will take the game to Koln, the Belgian having scored an impressive seven goals this season. However, against an aggressive and direct Hertha side, Koln may retreat into a more cautious play, leaving two sides with poor finishing struggling to break their opponents down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawFC Koln
29.42% (-0.476 -0.48) 23.2% (-0.127 -0.13) 47.37% (0.599 0.6)
Both teams to score 61.57% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (0.321 0.32)39.54% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (0.333 0.33)61.89% (-0.339 -0.34)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)25.82% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.197 -0.2)60.78% (0.192 0.19)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (0.351 0.35)16.99% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (0.621 0.62)47.1% (-0.624 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 29.42%
    FC Koln 47.37%
    Draw 23.19%
Hertha BerlinDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.94% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.42%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.89% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.07% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 47.37%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs FC Koln

Hertha Berlin
52.9%
Draw
23.5%
FC Koln
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-3
FC Koln
Darida (57')
Torunarigha (48'), Serdar (61'), Boateng (82')
Modeste (30'), Duda (32'), Thielmann (90+1')
Hubers (15')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
FC Koln
3-1
Hertha Berlin
Modeste (41'), Kainz (52', 55')
Hubers (16'), Czichos (67'), Thielmann (77'), Skhiri (80')
Jovetic (6')
Plattenhardt (90'), Serdar (90+4')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-5
FC Koln

Stark (45'), Ascacibar (69')
Cordoba (4', 22'), Jarstein (37' og.), Kainz (62'), Uth (69')
Mere (55'), Rexhbecaj (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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