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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Koln logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 0
FC Koln

Kanga (9'), Richter (54')
Kempf (62'), Rogel (62'), Lukebakio (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Skhiri (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-1 FC Koln

Neither side looks capable of settling the score in the final third this weekend. It is very possible that the in-form Lukebakio will take the game to Koln, the Belgian having scored an impressive seven goals this season. However, against an aggressive and direct Hertha side, Koln may retreat into a more cautious play, leaving two sides with poor finishing struggling to break their opponents down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawFC Koln
29.42% (-0.476 -0.48) 23.2% (-0.127 -0.13) 47.37% (0.599 0.6)
Both teams to score 61.57% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (0.321 0.32)39.54% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (0.333 0.33)61.89% (-0.339 -0.34)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)25.82% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.197 -0.2)60.78% (0.192 0.19)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (0.351 0.35)16.99% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (0.621 0.62)47.1% (-0.624 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 29.42%
    FC Koln 47.37%
    Draw 23.19%
Hertha BerlinDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.94% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.42%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.89% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.07% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 47.37%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs FC Koln

Hertha Berlin
52.9%
Draw
23.5%
FC Koln
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-3
FC Koln
Darida (57')
Torunarigha (48'), Serdar (61'), Boateng (82')
Modeste (30'), Duda (32'), Thielmann (90+1')
Hubers (15')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
FC Koln
3-1
Hertha Berlin
Modeste (41'), Kainz (52', 55')
Hubers (16'), Czichos (67'), Thielmann (77'), Skhiri (80')
Jovetic (6')
Plattenhardt (90'), Serdar (90+4')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-5
FC Koln

Stark (45'), Ascacibar (69')
Cordoba (4', 22'), Jarstein (37' og.), Kainz (62'), Uth (69')
Mere (55'), Rexhbecaj (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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