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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Bayern logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 3
Bayern

Lukebakio (40'), Selke (45' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-3)
Musiala (12'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (37', 38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, October 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-3 Bayern Munich

We expect Bayern to cruise to victory in Berlin on Saturday, with their winning streak potentially continuing right through to breaking for the World Cup later this month. Hertha have struggled to score goals this season and those woes look set to hurt them at the weekend, with their improving defensive record unlikely to do them too much good against such a potent opposition attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 8.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.59%) and 1-2 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawBayern Munich
8.63% (-0.074900000000001 -0.07) 11.8% (0.029 0.03) 79.57% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.79% (-0.452 -0.45)19.21% (0.453 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.04% (-0.659 -0.66)36.96% (0.66 0.66)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-0.565 -0.56)34.25% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (-0.609 -0.61)70.95% (0.61099999999999 0.61)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.2% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)3.8% (0.076 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.78% (-0.256 -0.26)16.22% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 8.63%
    Bayern Munich 79.57%
    Draw 11.8%
Hertha BerlinDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-0 @ 1.39% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 8.63%
1-1 @ 4.56% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 11.8%
1-3 @ 8.13% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.59% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.17 0.17)
1-4 @ 6.65% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.2% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 4.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-5 @ 4.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.131 0.13)
0-5 @ 4.06% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 3.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-6 @ 2.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-5 @ 2.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-6 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 1.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-6 @ 1.27% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-7 @ 1.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 79.57%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Bayern

Hertha Berlin
9.2%
Draw
3.7%
Bayern Munich
87.2%
109
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 4.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Bayern
Ekkelenkamp (80')
Serdar (70')
Tolisso (25'), Muller (45'), Sane (75'), Gnabry (79')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
Bayern
4-3
Hertha Berlin
Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')
Jan 19, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-4
Bayern

Darida (7'), Jarstein (64'), Boyata (81')
Muller (60'), Lewandowski (73' pen.), Alcantara (76'), Perisic (84')
Pavard (19')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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