Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
0 - 2
Union Berlin

Boateng (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doekhi (44'), Seguin (67')
Khedira (49'), Seguin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-5 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Union Berlin

Hertha's relative solidity under Schwarz prior to the World Cup appears to have gone out of the window since returning to action last weekend, with disappointing defeats to VfL Bochum and Wolfsburg seeing them drop into the automatic relegation places . As such, we are struggling to see beyond a fifth consecutive victory for Union in the Berlin derby, with Fischer's side looking well set to challenge for a Champions League qualification position once again this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Union Berlin
30.2% ( 0.07)	25.64% ( 0.05)	44.16% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 53.69% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9% (

-0.17)

50.09% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93% (

-0.15)

72.06% (

0.15)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

-0.04)

30.61% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

-0.05)

66.84% (

0.04)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

-0.13)

22.62% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.75% (

-0.2)

56.24% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 30.2%

Union Berlin 44.16%

Draw 25.63%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.2%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.16%