MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:32:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Werder Bremen logo

Freiburg
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Philipp (90+6')
Kubler (38'), Hofler (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Schmid (6'), Friedl (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-4 Bayern
Friday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 3-1 Werder Bremen

 Freiburg will have been hugely boosted by getting their season off to a winning start, with Streich likely to have been fearful of his players being in a mini-slump after narrowly missing out on qualifying for the Champions League last season. Werder Bremen should not be judged too harshly on their heavy defeat to Bayern, who can thrash any team on their day, but their long-term form is more alarming and they could be involved in a relegation battle this season. We expect the hosts to record a comfortable victory, with goals likely to be on the agenda. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawWerder Bremen
52.07% (-0.194 -0.19) 23.55% (-0.107 -0.11) 24.38% (0.304 0.3)
Both teams to score 55.81% (0.69 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (0.754 0.75)45.14% (-0.754 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.72 0.72)67.49% (-0.717 -0.72)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (0.209 0.21)17.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (0.362 0.36)47.73% (-0.36 -0.36)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (0.667 0.67)32.48% (-0.666 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.744 0.74)69.01% (-0.74199999999999 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 52.07%
    Werder Bremen 24.38%
    Draw 23.55%
FreiburgDrawWerder Bremen
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 52.07%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 24.38%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Freiburg
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Werder Bremen
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-2
Freiburg
Philipp (46')
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg
Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
Werder Bremen
Lienhart (16')
Hofler (27'), Santamaria (89'), Schmid (90+2')
Fullkrug (25' pen.)
Augustinsson (44'), Mbom (51'), Sargent (83')
> Preview
May 23, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Freiburg
0-1
Werder Bremen
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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