Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Freiburg2 - 0Wolfsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 4-2 Freiburg
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Freiburg 1-1 Wolfsburg
Freiburg have suffered a hugely disappointing couple of weeks, losing both of their crucial top-four battles as well as being dumped out of the DFB-Pokal, and it will be difficult for them to put aside any lingering negative energy on Friday. As such, we can envisage Wolfsburg gaining a positive result from this meeting, although it may not be the victory that they require to remain in pole position to claim sixth place. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
43.57% ( -0) | 24.55% ( -0) | 31.88% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.13% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
