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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Wolfsburg

Freiburg
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Gunter (71'), Petersen (75')
Sallai (31')
Hofler (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wind (39'), Wimmer (54'), Gerhardt (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Wolfsburg

Freiburg have suffered a hugely disappointing couple of weeks, losing both of their crucial top-four battles as well as being dumped out of the DFB-Pokal, and it will be difficult for them to put aside any lingering negative energy on Friday. As such, we can envisage Wolfsburg gaining a positive result from this meeting, although it may not be the victory that they require to remain in pole position to claim sixth place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
43.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.55% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 58.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (0.013000000000005 0.01)44.65% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (0.010999999999996 0.01)67.01% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (0.00099999999999056 0)20.6% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)53.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)26.78% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (0.010000000000005 0.01)62.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 43.57%
    Wolfsburg 31.88%
    Draw 24.55%
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 43.57%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.88%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg

Freiburg
50.0%
Draw
17.0%
Wolfsburg
33.0%
88
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
6-0
Freiburg
Wimmer (1'), Wind (28', 37'), Gerhardt (56'), Baku (80'), Waldschmidt (90+4' pen.)
Otavio (22')

Woo-yeong (53'), Eggestein (72')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 26
Freiburg
3-2
Wolfsburg
Grifo (7', 44'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Schlotterbeck (55'), Haberer (64')
Kruse (52'), Arnold (84')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 9
Wolfsburg
0-2
Freiburg

Steffen (7'), Guilavogui (26'), Mbabu (71')
Lienhart (27'), Holer (68')
Jan 31, 2021 5pm
gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
3-0
Freiburg
Brooks (21'), Weghorst (39'), Gerhardt (85')
Sep 27, 2020 5pm
gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-1
Wolfsburg
Petersen (11')
Brekalo (42')
Otavio (32'), Arnold (34'), Brooks (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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