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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
60.16% ( 0.06) | 21.67% ( -0.02) | 18.17% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% ( 0.05) | 44.69% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( 0.05) | 67.06% ( -0.04) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.57% ( 0.03) | 14.43% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.63% ( 0.06) | 42.37% ( -0.06) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.72% ( -0) | 38.29% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.96% ( -0.01) | 75.05% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 60.15% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
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