MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:53:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Leipzig logo

Freiburg
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Streich (78'), Grifo (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kampl (73')
Haidara (21'), Nkunku (36'), Laimer (64'), Kampl (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Freiburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

Leipzig will be hoping that Freiburg are still reeling from the effects of Tuesday's heavy defeat as they aim to climb above Saturday's opponents into the top four with another victory the Europa-Park Stadion. The hosts will be keen to put things right and respond well with an improved performance, but considering the threat that the visitors pose in attack, we expect Die Roten Bullen to outscore their opponents once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
24.43% (-0.044 -0.04) 22.35% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 53.22% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.99% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (-0.337 -0.34)39.64% (0.338 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)61.99% (0.353 0.35)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.218 -0.22)29.46% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.266 -0.27)65.47% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (-0.125 -0.13)14.96% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (-0.238 -0.24)43.37% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 24.43%
    RB Leipzig 53.22%
    Draw 22.35%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.39% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.43%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.95% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.22%

How you voted: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Freiburg
28.6%
Draw
12.7%
RB Leipzig
58.7%
63
Head to Head
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Freiburg
1-5
RB Leipzig
Gregoritsch (75')
Kubler (68'), Sallai (90+4')
Olmo (13'), Henrichs (14'), Szoboszlai (37', 90+7'), Nkunku (45+1')
Nkunku (60'), Blaswich (69'), Laimer (85')
Gvardiol (58')
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 14
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
Simakan (54'), Nkunku (56'), Forsberg (78' pen.)
Kubler (66')
Doan (41')
May 21, 2022 7pm
Final
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties
Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')
Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 8
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Woo-yeong (64')
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!