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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
24.43% (![]() | 22.35% (![]() | 53.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.36% (![]() | 39.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.01% (![]() | 61.99% (![]() |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% (![]() | 29.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% (![]() | 65.47% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% (![]() | 14.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.63% (![]() | 43.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.25% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.43% | 1-1 @ 10.23% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.72% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |