MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:35:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Leipzig logo

Freiburg
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Streich (78'), Grifo (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kampl (73')
Haidara (21'), Nkunku (36'), Laimer (64'), Kampl (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Freiburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

Leipzig will be hoping that Freiburg are still reeling from the effects of Tuesday's heavy defeat as they aim to climb above Saturday's opponents into the top four with another victory the Europa-Park Stadion. The hosts will be keen to put things right and respond well with an improved performance, but considering the threat that the visitors pose in attack, we expect Die Roten Bullen to outscore their opponents once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
24.43% (-0.044 -0.04) 22.35% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 53.22% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.99% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (-0.337 -0.34)39.64% (0.338 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)61.99% (0.353 0.35)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.218 -0.22)29.46% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.266 -0.27)65.47% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (-0.125 -0.13)14.96% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (-0.238 -0.24)43.37% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 24.43%
    RB Leipzig 53.22%
    Draw 22.35%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.39% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.43%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.95% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.22%

How you voted: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Freiburg
28.6%
Draw
12.7%
RB Leipzig
58.7%
63
Head to Head
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Freiburg
1-5
RB Leipzig
Gregoritsch (75')
Kubler (68'), Sallai (90+4')
Olmo (13'), Henrichs (14'), Szoboszlai (37', 90+7'), Nkunku (45+1')
Nkunku (60'), Blaswich (69'), Laimer (85')
Gvardiol (58')
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 14
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
Simakan (54'), Nkunku (56'), Forsberg (78' pen.)
Kubler (66')
Doan (41')
May 21, 2022 7pm
Final
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties
Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')
Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 8
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Woo-yeong (64')
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Rams
@
Bears
6pm
Eagles
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Steelers
@
Colts
6pm
Saints
@
Falcons
6pm
Broncos
@
Jets
6pm
Vikings
@
Packers
6pm
Bengals
@
Panthers
6pm
Jags
@
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt5401116512
3RB Leipzig532082611
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
5Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
6Heidenheim530210739
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Werder Bremen5221811-38
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
12Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim5104915-63
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel5014717-101


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!