Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg3 - 2Wolfsburg
Kubler (42', 51'), Gregoritsch (61')
Kubler (22'), Gregoritsch (31'), Rosenfelder (76'), Eggestein (85')
Kubler (22'), Gregoritsch (31'), Rosenfelder (76'), Eggestein (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
We said: Freiburg 1-3 Wolfsburg
Despite their injuries, Wolfsburg are in excellent form and have been rampant in front of goal, and it would not be surprising if they scored more than once on Friday. Additionally, given Freiburg's poor record in the final third, it is difficult to see how they can get back into the game should they concede first. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
46.15% ( 0.06) | 23.71% ( 0) | 30.13% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
