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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
43.07% ( 0.47) | 23.5% ( 0.17) | 33.43% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 62.56% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.88% ( -1.02) | 39.11% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.56% ( -1.08) | 61.44% ( 1.08) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.46% ( -0.22) | 18.53% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.23% ( -0.37) | 49.77% ( 0.37) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% ( -0.83) | 23.2% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.9% ( -1.23) | 57.09% ( 1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 43.07% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
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