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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
40.87% ( 0.01) | 23.69% ( 0) | 35.44% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.41% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.45% ( -0.01) | 39.55% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.1% ( -0.01) | 61.9% ( 0.01) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% ( -0) | 19.67% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.34% ( -0) | 51.65% ( -0) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( -0.01) | 22.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% ( -0.01) | 55.77% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.2% Total : 40.87% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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