Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

Apr 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 2
Wolfsburg

Bornauw (41' og.)
Gregoritsch (55'), Sallai (67'), Hofler (73'), Holer (90+2')
Sildillia (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Arnold (82'), Lacroix (90')
Arnold (62'), Bornauw (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Wolfsburg

While Freiburg have experienced a slight dip in home form lately, it is worth pointing out that five of their last six games at Europa-Park Stadion were against sides in the top six of the Bundesliga standings. We expect the hosts to put on a much better showing this week and feel they will emerge with the points from this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
40.87% ( 0.01)	23.69% ( 0)	35.44% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 62.41% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.45% (

-0.01)

39.55% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.1% (

-0.01)

61.9% (

0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

-0)

19.67% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34% (

-0)

51.65% (

-0)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

-0.01)

22.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.22% (

-0.01)

55.77% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 40.87%

Wolfsburg 35.44%

Draw 23.68%

Freiburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.2% Total : 40.87%	1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.44%