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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Wolfsburg

Freiburg
1 - 2
Wolfsburg

Bornauw (41' og.)
Gregoritsch (55'), Sallai (67'), Hofler (73'), Holer (90+2')
Sildillia (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arnold (82'), Lacroix (90')
Arnold (62'), Bornauw (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Wolfsburg

While Freiburg have experienced a slight dip in home form lately, it is worth pointing out that five of their last six games at Europa-Park Stadion were against sides in the top six of the Bundesliga standings. We expect the hosts to put on a much better showing this week and feel they will emerge with the points from this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
40.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.69% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.44% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)39.55% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.9% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)19.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)51.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)22.31% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)55.77% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 40.87%
    Wolfsburg 35.44%
    Draw 23.68%
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.44%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg

Freiburg
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Wolfsburg
10.0%
30
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolfsburg
0-1
Freiburg

Arnold (85')
Gregoritsch (74')
Hofler (57'), Sallai (77'), Rohl (85'), Holer (86')
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
2-0
Wolfsburg
Gunter (71'), Petersen (75')
Sallai (31')
Hofler (90+2')

Wind (39'), Wimmer (54'), Gerhardt (67')
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
6-0
Freiburg
Wimmer (1'), Wind (28', 37'), Gerhardt (56'), Baku (80'), Waldschmidt (90+4' pen.)
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
3-2
Wolfsburg
Grifo (7', 44'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Schlotterbeck (55'), Haberer (64')
Kruse (52'), Arnold (84')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Wolfsburg
0-2
Freiburg

Steffen (7'), Guilavogui (26'), Mbabu (71')
Lienhart (27'), Holer (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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