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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
43.82% ( 0.01) | 26.04% ( -0.01) | 30.13% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.2% ( 0.05) | 51.79% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.44% ( 0.04) | 73.56% ( -0.04) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( 0.02) | 23.51% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.45% ( 0.04) | 57.55% ( -0.04) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.47% ( 0.02) | 31.53% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.08% ( 0.03) | 67.92% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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