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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
43.82% ( 0.01) | 26.04% ( -0.01) | 30.13% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.2% ( 0.05) | 51.79% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.44% ( 0.04) | 73.56% ( -0.04) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( 0.02) | 23.51% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.45% ( 0.04) | 57.55% ( -0.04) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.47% ( 0.02) | 31.53% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.08% ( 0.03) | 67.92% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 41 | 10 | 31 | 33 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 26 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
7 | Freiburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
8 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 2 |
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