Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg0 - 0Mainz
We said: Freiburg 2-2 Mainz 05
Mainz have struggled for positive results of late, and it would not be surprising if they failed to win once again on Sunday. However, it is difficult to ignore the visitors' strong away form, and perhaps Freiburg will have to settle for a point at home. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
52.77% ( -0.01) | 23.04% ( 0.13) | 24.19% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.96% ( -0.66) | 43.04% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.56% ( -0.66) | 65.44% ( 0.67) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( -0.24) | 16.32% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.1% ( -0.44) | 45.9% ( 0.45) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( -0.45) | 31.5% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.11% ( -0.53) | 67.89% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
Freiburg 52.77%
Mainz 05 24.19%
Draw 23.03%
| Freiburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.77% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.19% |
How you voted: Freiburg vs Mainz
Freiburg
69.1%Draw
23.5%Mainz 05
7.4%81
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Freiburg
1-1
Mainz
Dec 3, 2023 2.30pm
Mar 19, 2023 6.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Form Guide
