MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:43:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Mainz logo

Freiburg
0 - 0
Mainz


Sildillia (90+2')
FT

Jae-sung (44'), Bell (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Hamburger SV
Wednesday, October 30 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 2-2 Mainz 05

 Mainz have struggled for positive results of late, and it would not be surprising if they failed to win once again on Sunday. However, it is difficult to ignore the visitors' strong away form, and perhaps Freiburg will have to settle for a point at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
52.77% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.04% (0.126 0.13) 24.19% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.32% (-0.546 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (-0.665 -0.66)43.04% (0.67299999999999 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (-0.662 -0.66)65.44% (0.67 0.67)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (-0.238 -0.24)16.32% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (-0.442 -0.44)45.9% (0.45 0.45)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (-0.44999999999999 -0.45)31.5% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (-0.526 -0.53)67.89% (0.53399999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 52.77%
    Mainz 05 24.19%
    Draw 23.03%
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.198 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 52.77%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.151 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 24.19%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Mainz

Freiburg
69.1%
Draw
23.5%
Mainz 05
7.4%
81
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Freiburg
1-1
Mainz
Gregoritsch (6')
Kubler (31'), Hofler (42'), Holer (70')
Burkardt (40')
Jae-sung (35'), Krauss (62'), Caci (71'), van den Berg (85')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-1
Freiburg

Barreiro (29')
Gregoritsch (69')
Sallai (87')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mainz
1-1
Freiburg
Onisiwo (90+6')
Doan (55')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Freiburg
2-1
Mainz
Gregoritsch (3'), Kyereh (37')
Caricol (52')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Freiburg
1-1
Mainz
Petersen (69')
Hack (31')
Stach (7'), Kohr (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!