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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Mainz logo

Freiburg
0 - 0
Mainz


Sildillia (90+2')
FT

Jae-sung (44'), Bell (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Hamburger SV
Wednesday, October 30 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 2-2 Mainz 05

Mainz have struggled for positive results of late, and it would not be surprising if they failed to win once again on Sunday. However, it is difficult to ignore the visitors' strong away form, and perhaps Freiburg will have to settle for a point at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
52.77% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.04% (0.126 0.13) 24.19% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.32% (-0.546 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (-0.665 -0.66)43.04% (0.67299999999999 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (-0.662 -0.66)65.44% (0.67 0.67)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (-0.238 -0.24)16.32% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (-0.442 -0.44)45.9% (0.45 0.45)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (-0.44999999999999 -0.45)31.5% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (-0.526 -0.53)67.89% (0.53399999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 52.77%
    Mainz 05 24.19%
    Draw 23.03%
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.198 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 52.77%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.151 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 24.19%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Mainz

Freiburg
69.1%
Draw
23.5%
Mainz 05
7.4%
81
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Freiburg
1-1
Mainz
Gregoritsch (6')
Kubler (31'), Hofler (42'), Holer (70')
Burkardt (40')
Jae-sung (35'), Krauss (62'), Caci (71'), van den Berg (85')
Dec 3, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-1
Freiburg

Barreiro (29')
Gregoritsch (69')
Sallai (87')
Mar 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mainz
1-1
Freiburg
Onisiwo (90+6')
Doan (55')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Freiburg
2-1
Mainz
Gregoritsch (3'), Kyereh (37')
Caricol (52')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Freiburg
1-1
Mainz
Petersen (69')
Hack (31')
Stach (7'), Kohr (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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