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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Dortmund logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
Dortmund

Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

With both teams picking up some strong results so far this season, we expect to see a high-quality match play out at the Rhein-Neckar-Arena on Friday evening, with the respective managers seemingly finding a better balance between attack and defence in recent weeks. Although BVB will be acutely aware that any more dropped points could see them fall too far behind Bayern in the title race even at this early stage of the season, we can envisage them having to share for a share of the spoils in Baden-Wurttemberg, which would at least keep their unbeaten record in tact. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
26.53% (0.0040000000000013 0) 19.88% (0.0030000000000001 0) 53.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 71.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.61% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)45.42% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36% (0.0010000000000048 0)52.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.97% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)10.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.91% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)33.09% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 26.53%
    Borussia Dortmund 53.59%
    Draw 19.88%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.64%
1-0 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 3.17%
2-0 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.45%
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 26.53%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 6.85%
3-3 @ 2.79%
0-0 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 8.58%
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.38%
2-3 @ 5.25%
0-1 @ 4.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.12%
1-4 @ 3.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.37%
1-5 @ 1.74%
3-4 @ 1.61%
2-5 @ 1.39%
0-5 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 53.59%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund

Hoffenheim
24.0%
Draw
32.8%
Borussia Dortmund
43.2%
125
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
3-2
Hoffenheim
Reyna (49'), Bellingham (69'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
Dahoud (36'), Meunier (54')
Baumgartner (61'), Dabour (90')
Baumgartner (1'), Posch (7'), Geiger (20')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
2-2
Hoffenheim
Sancho (24'), Braut Haaland (81')
Delaney (21'), Akanji (67')
Dabour (31'), Bebou (51')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern27205278265265
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen27178262342859
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt27146755401548
4Mainz 05Mainz27136845311445
5Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach27134104440443
6RB Leipzig2711974134742
7Freiburg2712693740-342
8Augsburg2710983036-639
9Wolfsburg2710894941838
10Borussia DortmundDortmund27115114842638
11Stuttgart27107104744337
12Werder Bremen27106114353-1036
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2786132540-1530
14Hoffenheim2769123349-1627
15St Pauli2774162233-1125
16Heidenheim2764173252-2022
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2755172855-2720
18Holstein Kiel2745183867-2917


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