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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
26.53% (![]() | 19.88% (![]() | 53.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 71.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.61% (![]() | 25.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.58% (![]() | 45.42% (![]() |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.72% (![]() | 20.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.36% (![]() | 52.64% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.97% (![]() | 10.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.91% (![]() | 33.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.95% (![]() 3-2 @ 3.64% 1-0 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.17% 2-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.73% Total : 26.53% | 1-1 @ 7.46% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.85% 3-3 @ 2.79% 0-0 @ 2.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.88% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.38% 2-3 @ 5.25% 0-1 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.12% 1-4 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.37% 1-5 @ 1.74% 3-4 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 4.02% Total : 53.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 78 | 26 | 52 | 65 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 59 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 48 |
4 | Mainz 05Mainz | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 45 |
5 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 42 |
7 | Freiburg | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
8 | Augsburg | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 39 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 38 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 38 |
11 | Stuttgart | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 37 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 30 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 27 |
15 | St Pauli | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
16 | Heidenheim | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 22 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 20 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 67 | -29 | 17 |
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