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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Hoffenheim |
43.1% ( -0.03) | 24.74% ( -0) | 32.16% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.61% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.6% ( 0.02) | 45.4% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.27% ( 0.02) | 67.73% ( -0.03) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% ( -0) | 21.12% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.04% ( -0) | 53.96% ( 0) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( 0.03) | 26.97% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.69% ( 0.04) | 62.31% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.1% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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