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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Hoffenheim logo

FC Koln
1 - 3
Hoffenheim

Selke (61')
Hubers (34'), Chabot (45+3'), Carstensen (63')
Carstensen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kramaric (1'), Grillitsch (28'), Beier (52')
Skov (23'), Kaderabek (68'), Brooks (70'), Grillitsch (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim have flown out of the blocks this season and will be looking to pick up a fourth consecutive win across all competitions. Die Kraichgauer's record at the RheinEnergieStadion makes them slight favourites once again and we are backing them to snatch all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
43.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 32.16% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.61% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.4% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (0.023000000000003 0.02)67.73% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)21.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)53.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (0.042000000000002 0.04)62.31% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 43.1%
    Hoffenheim 32.16%
    Draw 24.73%
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.16%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Hoffenheim

FC Koln
23.1%
Draw
26.9%
Hoffenheim
50.0%
26
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Hoffenheim
1-3
FC Koln
Dolberg (90+4')
Kainz (18' pen.), Selke (39'), Thielmann (90+2')
Oct 30, 2022 6.30pm
Mar 6, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
FC Koln
0-1
Hoffenheim

Ljubicic (61')
Posch (61')
Baumgartner (85'), Baumann (90+2'), Grillitsch (90+5'), Dabour (90+5')
Oct 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Hoffenheim
5-0
FC Koln
Bebou (31', 49'), Baumgartner (51'), Geiger (74'), Posch (87')
Kaderabek (33')

Czichos (81')
Jan 24, 2021 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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