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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Hoffenheim logo

FC Koln
1 - 3
Hoffenheim

Selke (61')
Hubers (34'), Chabot (45+3'), Carstensen (63')
Carstensen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kramaric (1'), Grillitsch (28'), Beier (52')
Skov (23'), Kaderabek (68'), Brooks (70'), Grillitsch (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim have flown out of the blocks this season and will be looking to pick up a fourth consecutive win across all competitions. Die Kraichgauer's record at the RheinEnergieStadion makes them slight favourites once again and we are backing them to snatch all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
43.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 32.16% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.61% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.4% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (0.023000000000003 0.02)67.73% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)21.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)53.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (0.042000000000002 0.04)62.31% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 43.1%
    Hoffenheim 32.16%
    Draw 24.73%
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.16%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Hoffenheim

FC Koln
23.1%
Draw
26.9%
Hoffenheim
50.0%
26
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Hoffenheim
1-3
FC Koln
Dolberg (90+4')
Kainz (18' pen.), Selke (39'), Thielmann (90+2')
Oct 30, 2022 6.30pm
Mar 6, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
FC Koln
0-1
Hoffenheim

Ljubicic (61')
Posch (61')
Baumgartner (85'), Baumann (90+2'), Grillitsch (90+5'), Dabour (90+5')
Oct 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Hoffenheim
5-0
FC Koln
Bebou (31', 49'), Baumgartner (51'), Geiger (74'), Posch (87')
Kaderabek (33')

Czichos (81')
Jan 24, 2021 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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