Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
PSG2 - 0Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 2-3 Nice
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Freiburg 2-4 Dortmund
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
The Parc des Princes may have lost its fear factor in 2023, but PSG have still managed at least two goals in each of their last three contests, and a fired-up Mbappe can always be relied on to terrorise opposing defences. The anticipated returns of Ugarte and Marquinhos will also add a layer of steel to the Parisiens' XI, but Dortmund's in-form attackers should still have a glint in their eyes and can claim a point for their side in what promises to be a captivating clash. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.36%) and 3-1 (5.09%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
41.58% ( 0.04) | 22.13% ( 0.02) | 36.28% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 68.61% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
