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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Hoffenheim
4 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Weghorst (36'), Promel (58'), Kabak (66'), Stach (90+1')
Kabak (49'), Matarazzo (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hack (39', 78', 89')
Itakura (75'), Cvancara (82'), Weigl (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 4-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia Monchengladbach

 Gladbach won the reverse fixture (2-1) in December, claiming their fourth consecutive win over Hoffenheim to extend their undefeated sequence against this weekend's opponent to five. While Saturday's game could end in a draw, we are sticking our necks out for an away win, with the visitors showing some stability in recent road games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
49.33% (0.121 0.12) 21.06% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 29.61% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 69.77% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.11% (0.045999999999992 0.05)28.89% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.15% (0.054000000000002 0.05)49.85% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)12.4% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.72% (0.10299999999999 0.1)38.28% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)20.36% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)52.76% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 49.33%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 29.61%
    Draw 21.06%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.85% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 49.33%
1-1 @ 8.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.97% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.57%
0-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.06%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.61%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'bach

Hoffenheim
31.3%
Draw
34.4%
Borussia Monchengladbach
34.4%
32
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Borussia M'bach
2-1
Hoffenheim
Plea (58' pen.), N'Goumou (80')
Elvedi (54'), Reitz (82')
Weghorst (60')
Tohumcu (50'), Akpoguma (88')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hoffenheim
1-4
Borussia M'bach
Bebou (80')
Hofmann (12', 37'), Stindl (83'), Wolf (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Borussia M'bach
3-1
Hoffenheim
Bensebaini (42'), Thuram (71'), Elvedi (78')
Scally (13')
Skov (25')
Posch (15'), Samassekou (23'), Vogt (75')
Posch (19')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Borussia M'bach
5-1
Hoffenheim
Stindl (26'), Plea (44' pen.), Hofmann (45+1', 68'), Embolo (53')
Stindl (10')
Kramaric (3')
Samassekou (31'), Vogt (60')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hoffenheim
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Akpoguma (90+1')
Kaderabek (55'), Geiger (90+4')
Embolo (35')
Bensebaini (62'), Lainer (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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