Although Gladbach have improved in recent weeks, they allowed 13 shots on their goal against Dortmund last week, with performances under Seoane's management still leaving plenty to be desired.
Hoffenheim's results have dipped of late, but their away record has been extremely impressive this season, and we can envisage Matarazzo's side claiming a sixth win in seven matches on the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.