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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim in this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
54.95% ( 1.15) | 21.82% ( -0.31) | 23.22% ( -0.85) |
Both teams to score 60.4% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.57% ( 0.5) | 38.43% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.28% ( 0.53) | 60.71% ( -0.54) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.02% ( 0.54) | 13.97% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.52% ( 1.06) | 41.47% ( -1.06) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% ( -0.42) | 29.78% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% ( -0.51) | 65.85% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.45% Total : 54.95% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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