Seven of the last eight meetings between Hoffenheim and Stuttgart have seen both teams score and another entertaining end-to-end contest could be on the cards this weekend.
The momentum is certainly with Stuttgart at present, but Hoffenheim have already beaten Die Rotten this season and may do enough to claim at least a share of the spoils this time around.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.1%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.